Knuckleballs

Unpredictable, rare, and occasionally effective…but always entertaining.

Fun with Numbers

with 3 comments


Some of these are stupid-good, stupid-bad, or just plain stupid.

Austin Jackson’s BABIP is 0.436, somewhat supported by a 28.3% line-drive rate, 46.9% ground ball rate, and just 3.2% of his flyballs staying on the infield.  He has a 37-point advantage over Josh Hamilton.

Jose Bautista‘s slugging percentage is more than twice his batting average (0.548 to 0.242), meaning that he averages more than 2 bases per hit.  34 singles, 21 doubles, 2 triples, and 27 home runs will do that.

On the other hand, Juan Pierre has 11 extra base hits (10 doubles and a triple) in 431 plate apperances, leading to a slugging percentage (0.282) that is not only 32 points higher than his batting average (0.250) but is also lower than his on-base percentage (0.321).

Justin Morneau, Miguel Cabrera, Joey Votto, and Josh Hamilton are simply in another league in terms of ability to hit a baseball.  Easily the most valuable offensive players so far in 2010.

Votto has yet to hit a pop up on the infield.

Almost 60% of Mark Reynolds‘ batted balls are fly balls.  Fortunately, 20% of those leave the ballpark.  On the opposite side of the spectrum, Derek Jeter has hit fly balls only 15.7% of the time in 2010.

Erick Aybar has more bunt hits than 13 teams.

Ryan Howard sees fewer fastballs than anyone in baseball; David Eckstein sees the most.  Insert size joke here.  After Eckstein in that department are Jason Kendall and Pierre.  Yeah, I’d thrown them strikes too.

47% of the time Vladimir Guerrero sees a pitch that isn’t a strike, he swings.  He’s followed by Jeff Franceour, who gets noticeably worse results with his method than Vlad does.

Reynolds, Howard, Adam Dunn, and Carlos Pena all miss 50% or more of the pitches they swing at that aren’t strikes.  To be fair, Reynolds only hits 70% of the pitches he swings at that are strikes; his overall contact rate of 61.7% is the worst is the major leagues by almost 8 percent.

Albert Pujols sees fewer first-pitch strikes than anyone in baseball (46 percent). #BadIdeas #GoAhead&WalkHim

Clue Haywood leads the league in most offensive categories, including nose hair.  When this guy sneezes, he looks like a party favor.  Just wanted to see if you were still paying attention.

Would you have guessed that the best pitcher in baseball so far has been Josh Johnson?

Your Cliff Lee status update: 101 strikeouts, 7 walks, 14.43 K/BB.

Nick Blackburn is 107th in home run rate and 109th in strikeout rate among qualified starters.  That’s a quick way to 6.66 ERA.

Trevor Cahill is sporting a 0.220 BABIP, leading to an ERA that is 1.11 runs below his FIP.  Topping that, Tim Hudson has a BABIP of 0.231 BABIP and a strand rate of 83.2%, resulting in a 2.47 ERA and a 4.25 FIP.

On the flip side, Brandon Morrow, Francisco Liriano (SCARY), Scott Baker, and Justin Masterson all sport ERAs that are more than a run higher than their FIPs, thanks to BABIPs ranging from 0.337 to 0.357.

Masterson’s problem almost certainly is that he induces too many ground balls, because the Indians’ infield defense sucks (also, those same guys can’t hit) at turning them into outs.  He gets 3 ground balls for every fly ball, which leads the league among starters.

Phil Hughes leads the major leagues in run support, getting over 8 runs per game in his starts; next closest is Blackburn at 7.01 runs per game.  At the other end are Ted Lilly and Roy Oswalt, who get 2.43 and 2.51 runs per game, respectively.

Upside, Carlos Marmol is at 16.92 strikeouts per nine innings; downside, also at 6.46 walks per nine innings.

BABIP is a lot more volatile for relievers because of the fewer innings pitched, but Chad Qualls is at 0.452 with a 51.2% strand rate.  Yikes.  His ERA is twice his FIP (8.49 to 4.14).

Lastly, Ubaldo Jiminez, by month:

IP ERA ER HR BB SO K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 AVG BABIP LOB% FIP
Mar/Apr 34.1 0.79 3 0 14 31 8.13 3.67 2.21 0.00 0.185 0.251 91.7% 2.52
May 46 0.78 4 1 12 39 7.63 2.35 3.25 0.20 0.156 0.202 93.1% 2.67
Jun 32.2 4.41 16 4 14 32 8.82 3.86 2.29 1.10 0.264 0.325 75.5% 4.12
Jul 21.1 7.59 18 2 15 18 7.59 6.33 1.20 0.84 0.220 0.262 41.1% 4.75

That’s why they don’t give out Cy Youngs in May.

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Written by Dan Hennessey

July 26, 2010 at 8:25 PM

Posted in Uncategorized

3 Responses

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  1. Two giants are in the top five in the NL in WAR.

    Loyal reader Mac

    July 27, 2010 at 9:35 PM

  2. you leave ubaldo alone. he’s just pacing himself.

    concerned citizen

    August 11, 2010 at 6:27 PM


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